Nacional vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
7.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 0
CER
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LQE
1 - 2
NAC
31%
26%
44%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIB
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
5 - 1
IND
67%
21%
13%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CCP
1 - 1
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
TAC
1 - 2
LQE
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 2
TAC
76%
17%
7%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
TAC
3 - 2
IND
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
TAC
0 - 2
CCP
15%
24%
62%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
RÑU
3 - 1
TAC
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |