Nacional vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
13.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
IND
5 - 1
NAC
25%
28%
47%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
LIB
0 - 1
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
GUA
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 2
NAC
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 0
CCP
40%
28%
33%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
TAC
59%
24%
16%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
TAC
2 - 0
CCP
21%
27%
52%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
LQE
2 - 2
TAC
51%
25%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
AME
0 - 0
TAC
46%
25%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
TAC
1 - 1
GEN
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |