Nacional vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
LQE
1 - 1
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
SAO
3 - 0
NAC
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
LIB
0 - 0
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 2
SAO
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 0
GUA
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
TAC
3 - 0
SAN
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
TAC
1 - 1
AME
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
LQE
3 - 3
TAC
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
TAC
2 - 0
SPT
43%
30%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
TAC
0 - 1
RÑU
34%
30%
36%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |