Nacional vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
CCP
1 - 1
NAC
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 1
NAC
57%
22%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
LQE
1 - 1
NAC
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
NAC
4 - 2
RIV
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
RÑU
2 - 2
NAC
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
TAC
1 - 0
12O
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
RÑU
2 - 3
TAC
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2009 |
TAC
0 - 3
LIB
29%
29%
42%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 2
TAC
36%
26%
39%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
OLI
2 - 2
TAC
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |