Nacional vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 2
NAC
24%
25%
50%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
2DE
2 - 1
NAC
24%
26%
50%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 0
GUA
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2009 |
CCP
1 - 1
NAC
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2009 |
OLI
1 - 2
NAC
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
TAC
1 - 1
2DE
46%
27%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 0
TAC
49%
27%
25%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
TAC
2 - 1
CCP
28%
28%
44%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
OLI
2 - 1
TAC
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
LIB
2 - 1
TAC
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |