Nacional vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
AME
0 - 0
NAC
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 2
TAC
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
12O
0 - 2
NAC
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
NAC
2 - 1
SPT
67%
21%
13%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
GUA
0 - 3
NAC
39%
27%
35%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2007 |
TAC
1 - 1
DAN
28%
26%
46%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
TAC
2 - 1
LIB
38%
29%
34%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 2
TAC
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
TAC
0 - 1
LQE
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
OLI
2 - 2
TAC
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |