Nacional vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2004 |
OLI
1 - 1
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
NAC
1 - 1
SPC
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1986 |
NAC
1 - 2
OLI
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 1986 |
OLI
3 - 1
NAC
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1983 |
NAC
0 - 3
NAC
3%
28%
69%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
TAC
3 - 0
SPC
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
LIB
2 - 1
TAC
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
TAC
0 - 1
CCP
32%
28%
40%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
LIB
3 - 0
TAC
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
TAC
1 - 4
GUA
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |