Nacional vs Rubio Ñu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CCP
2 - 1
NAC
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
DEP
34%
25%
42%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 0
RPA
62%
22%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
GEN
1 - 2
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 1
RÑU
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
RÑU
1 - 1
SPT
56%
25%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
RÑU
0 - 3
CCP
29%
27%
45%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2016 |
GEN
1 - 1
RÑU
38%
27%
34%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
RÑU
0 - 1
LIB
33%
28%
40%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 1
RÑU
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |