Nacional vs Rubio Ñu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
22.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 0
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
3 - 4
GUA
25%
25%
50%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 1
AME
48%
28%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
LQE
3 - 4
NAC
40%
28%
31%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
SAN
54%
26%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2015 |
RÑU
2 - 3
LIB
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
OLI
3 - 0
RÑU
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
RÑU
0 - 2
CCP
28%
25%
47%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 2
RÑU
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
RÑU
1 - 3
SPO
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |