Nacional vs Rubio Ñu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
IND
2 - 5
NAC
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
TAC
0 - 0
NAC
24%
24%
52%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
CER
72%
19%
9%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
NAC
30%
28%
42%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 2
TAC
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LQE
1 - 1
RÑU
37%
25%
38%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
RÑU
2 - 1
IND
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CER
3 - 1
RÑU
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
RÑU
1 - 2
CAR
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CCP
5 - 3
RÑU
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |