Nacional vs Rubio Ñu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
IND
3 - 1
NAC
28%
26%
47%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
LQE
73%
19%
8%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
CCP
1 - 3
NAC
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 1
AME
68%
21%
11%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
GEN
2 - 0
NAC
17%
25%
58%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
RÑU
0 - 2
LIB
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
IND
3 - 1
RÑU
39%
28%
34%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
RÑU
2 - 1
SAN
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LQE
0 - 2
RÑU
35%
26%
40%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
RÑU
2 - 2
GUA
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |