Nacional vs Rubio Ñu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
25.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
OLI
1 - 0
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 0
MON
22%
24%
55%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 3
CCP
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 0
NAC
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 1
SAN
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
RÑU
3 - 1
TAC
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
AME
0 - 1
RÑU
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 2
RÑU
48%
26%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
RÑU
2 - 1
LIB
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
OLI
1 - 1
RÑU
52%
25%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |