Nacional vs Resistencia analysis


80	ELO	70
-7.4%	Tilt	-12.6%
1044º	General ELO ranking	1465º
8º	Country ELO ranking	17º
ELO win probability

56.4%

Nacional

24.4%

Draw

19.2%

Resistencia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

56.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%

24.4%

Draw

0-0

8.2%

1-1

11.5%

2-2

4%

3-3

0.6%

4-4

0.1%

0

24.4%

19.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+8%

-5%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

3º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

32

3º

12º

3º

19

2º

12º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

12º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	48	48	1º	100%
2º	40	40	2º	100%
3º	32	32	3º	100%
4º	32	32	4º	100%
5º	31	31	5º	100%
6º	29	29	6º	100%
7º	27	27	7º	100%
8º	27	27	8º	100%
9º	25	25	9º	100%
10º	24	24	10º	100%
11º	24	24	11º	100%
12º	19	19	12º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

CONMEBOL Libertadores	0%	0%
Mid-table	100%	100%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nacional

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
02 Nov. 2023	JLM 0 - 0 NAC 40% 27% 33%	80	76	4	0
28 Oct. 2023	NAC 2 - 1 AME 45% 26% 29%	80	79	1	0
22 Oct. 2023	GUA 0 - 0 NAC 36% 27% 37%	80	75	5	0
18 Oct. 2023	NAC 4 - 0 GUA 41% 27% 32%	80	80	0	0
12 Oct. 2023	NAC 2 - 0 MAR 65% 21% 14%	81	65	16	-1

Matches

Resistencia

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
02 Nov. 2023	RES 1 - 3 TAC 41% 28% 32%	71	73	2	0
31 Oct. 2023	LIB 4 - 1 RES 59% 23% 18%	71	80	9	0
26 Oct. 2023	RES 0 - 0 LQE 30% 27% 43%	71	78	7	0
22 Oct. 2023	CCP 4 - 1 RES 60% 23% 17%	71	80	9	0
08 Oct. 2023	RES 1 - 4 SPT 26% 26% 48%	72	80	8	-1