Nacional vs Olimpia analysis

Nacional Olimpia
71 ELO 85
3.2% Tilt -4.5%
1060º General ELO ranking 791º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
17.6%
Nacional
23%
Draw
59.4%
Olimpia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
Nacional
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
59.4%
Win probability
Olimpia
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nacional
+2%
-6%
Olimpia

ELO progression

Nacional
Olimpia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nacional
Nacional
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2019
SAN
Deportivo Santaní
1 - 2
Nacional
NAC
44%
27%
30%
71 70 1 0
07 Feb. 2019
NAC
Nacional
0 - 1
Sportivo Luqueño
LQE
47%
25%
28%
72 69 3 -1
03 Feb. 2019
SPO
Sportivo San Lorenzo
1 - 0
Nacional
NAC
37%
27%
36%
72 66 6 0
30 Jan. 2019
NAC
Nacional
1 - 2
Delfín
DEL
36%
26%
39%
73 79 6 -1
26 Jan. 2019
NAC
Nacional
0 - 2
Guaraní
GUA
39%
25%
36%
73 76 3 0

Matches

Olimpia
Olimpia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2019
AME
Sol de América
0 - 1
Olimpia
OLI
26%
24%
50%
84 76 8 0
04 Feb. 2019
LQE
Sportivo Luqueño
1 - 5
Olimpia
OLI
15%
23%
62%
84 70 14 0
27 Jan. 2019
OLI
Olimpia
2 - 0
Sportivo San Lorenzo
SPO
80%
14%
6%
84 67 17 0
09 Dec. 2018
SAN
3 de Febrero
1 - 0
Olimpia
OLI
14%
22%
64%
84 66 18 0
05 Dec. 2018
OLI
Olimpia
2 - 2
Guaraní
GUA
65%
19%
16%
85 76 9 -1