Nacional vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
59.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 2
NAC
44%
27%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 1
LQE
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
SPO
1 - 0
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 2
DEL
36%
26%
39%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 2
GUA
39%
25%
36%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
AME
0 - 1
OLI
26%
24%
50%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2019 |
LQE
1 - 5
OLI
15%
23%
62%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 0
SPO
80%
14%
6%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
OLI
14%
22%
64%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
OLI
2 - 2
GUA
65%
19%
16%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |