Nacional vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
OLI
4 - 2
NAC
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 0
SAN
59%
24%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
DEP
0 - 1
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 0
GUA
43%
26%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2018 |
LIB
0 - 0
NAC
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
OLI
4 - 2
NAC
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 2
OLI
32%
27%
42%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
OLI
2 - 1
LIB
49%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
AME
0 - 3
OLI
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
OLI
3 - 2
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |