Nacional vs Olimpia analysis


74	ELO	79
6%	Tilt	0.2%
1061º	General ELO ranking	792º
8º	Country ELO ranking	3º
ELO win probability

34.6%

Nacional

24.8%

Draw

40.6%

Olimpia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

34.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%

24.8%

Draw

0-0

5.6%

1-1

11.6%

2-2

6%

3-3

1.4%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

24.8%

40.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nacional

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
24 Jun. 2017	NAC 1 - 2 GUA 31% 25% 44%	74	80	6	0
17 Jun. 2017	IND 0 - 2 NAC 45% 27% 28%	73	74	1	+1
10 Jun. 2017	NAC 0 - 0 LQE 50% 25% 25%	73	72	1	0
05 Jun. 2017	OLI 0 - 0 NAC 63% 21% 16%	73	80	7	0
30 May. 2017	NAC 2 - 4 GEN 58% 23% 19%	74	68	6	-1

Matches

Olimpia

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
22 Jun. 2017	GEN 0 - 0 OLI 23% 25% 52%	80	69	11
18 Jun. 2017	OLI 2 - 2 AME 56% 23% 20%	80	76	4
10 Jun. 2017	LIB 3 - 0 OLI 43% 26% 31%	80	80	0
05 Jun. 2017	OLI 0 - 0 NAC 63% 21% 16%	80	73	7
28 May. 2017	RÑU 0 - 1 OLI 23% 25% 52%	80	71	9