Nacional vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
44.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
RÑU
2 - 1
NAC
47%
26%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 1
GUA
22%
24%
54%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 2
DEP
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CCP
1 - 0
NAC
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 0
AME
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 0
LIB
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
AME
2 - 1
OLI
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
OLI
2 - 1
CCP
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
OLI
0 - 0
SAN
63%
21%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
GEN
1 - 0
OLI
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |