Nacional vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
35.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 1
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
LQE
52%
26%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 1
LIB
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CCP
1 - 0
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
RÑU
1 - 0
OLI
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 3
GEN
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
GUA
4 - 2
OLI
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 0
RÑU
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
DEP
0 - 3
OLI
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |