Nacional vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 2
SFE
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 0
GEN
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 1
AME
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
ZAM
2 - 0
NAC
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 1
AME
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 5
OLI
31%
26%
42%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 1
12O
73%
18%
10%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CCP
2 - 2
OLI
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
OLI
2 - 1
DEP
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |