Nacional vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 0
TAC
76%
17%
8%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 0
CER
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LQE
1 - 2
NAC
31%
26%
44%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIB
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 0
LQE
73%
18%
9%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 1
OLI
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
OLI
3 - 1
IND
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CCP
4 - 1
OLI
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
OLI
3 - 2
RÑU
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |