Nacional vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
31.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
AUR
5 - 2
NAC
34%
26%
39%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
TAC
1 - 0
NAC
21%
27%
53%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
RÑU
2 - 3
NAC
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
IND
66%
22%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
AUR
61%
23%
17%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
EME
1 - 2
OLI
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 1
EME
50%
25%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
LQE
3 - 1
OLI
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 1
CCP
52%
24%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
AME
1 - 3
OLI
24%
26%
50%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |