Nacional vs Olimpia analysis

Nacional Olimpia
79 ELO 79
-11% Tilt 3%
1060º General ELO ranking 791º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
41.5%
Nacional
27.3%
Draw
31.2%
Olimpia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
Nacional
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
31.2%
Win probability
Olimpia
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nacional
-3%
-4%
Olimpia

ELO progression

Nacional
Olimpia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nacional
Nacional
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Sep. 2011
AUR
Aurora
5 - 2
Nacional
NAC
34%
26%
39%
80 72 8 0
17 Sep. 2011
TAC
Tacuary
1 - 0
Nacional
NAC
21%
27%
53%
80 67 13 0
10 Sep. 2011
RÑU
Rubio Ñu
2 - 3
Nacional
NAC
32%
27%
41%
80 72 8 0
03 Sep. 2011
NAC
Nacional
2 - 1
Independiente FBC
IND
66%
22%
12%
80 67 13 0
31 Aug. 2011
NAC
Nacional
1 - 1
Aurora
AUR
61%
23%
17%
80 70 10 0

Matches

Olimpia
Olimpia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Sep. 2011
EME
CS Emelec
1 - 2
Olimpia
OLI
50%
25%
25%
78 80 2 0
16 Sep. 2011
OLI
Olimpia
2 - 1
CS Emelec
EME
50%
25%
26%
78 81 3 0
11 Sep. 2011
LQE
Sportivo Luqueño
3 - 1
Olimpia
OLI
27%
26%
47%
79 64 15 -1
04 Sep. 2011
OLI
Olimpia
1 - 1
Cerro Porteño
CCP
52%
24%
23%
79 78 1 0
29 Aug. 2011
AME
Sol de América
1 - 3
Olimpia
OLI
24%
26%
50%
78 64 14 +1