Nacional vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
26.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 0
CCP
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 0
LIB
43%
28%
30%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2010 |
SPT
0 - 1
NAC
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
NAC
3 - 0
LQE
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
TAC
0 - 3
NAC
27%
27%
46%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
OLI
3 - 0
SPC
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
OLI
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
OLI
0 - 2
LIB
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
OLI
1 - 2
AME
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
OLI
26%
27%
48%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |