Nacional vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 0
GUA
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
LIB
1 - 1
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 0
PET
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
CCP
0 - 0
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 1
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
LQE
0 - 1
OLI
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
OLI
0 - 1
AME
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2008 |
OLI
0 - 2
GUA
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2008 |
LIB
1 - 0
OLI
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
OLI
3 - 3
PET
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |