Nacional vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
CCP
1 - 0
NAC
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 0
TAC
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
AME
0 - 0
NAC
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 2
TAC
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
12O
0 - 2
NAC
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
OLI
0 - 0
LIB
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
AME
1 - 2
OLI
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2007 |
OLI
0 - 0
LQE
42%
26%
33%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
CCP
0 - 0
OLI
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2007 |
AME
0 - 1
OLI
38%
28%
35%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |