Nacional vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
40.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 0
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 1
SPT
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 0
GUA
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
GEN
1 - 2
NAC
34%
28%
38%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 3
IND
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 2
LIB
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
LIB
5 - 0
GEN
76%
18%
7%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
LIB
2 - 1
IND
64%
22%
14%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
CCP
0 - 1
LIB
55%
23%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
LIB
3 - 0
DEP
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |