Nacional vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 4
NAC
56%
23%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
LQE
1 - 3
NAC
39%
27%
33%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
MIN
0 - 0
NAC
41%
24%
35%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 1
AME
46%
25%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2018 |
GEN
1 - 2
NAC
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 4
LIB
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
ATT
0 - 2
LIB
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
LIB
1 - 2
AME
50%
26%
25%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 4
LIB
23%
26%
51%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
LIB
1 - 1
CCP
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |