Nacional vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
30.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2017 |
IND
1 - 2
NAC
38%
28%
35%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
EST
0 - 1
NAC
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 5
SPT
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
GEN
1 - 1
NAC
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 2
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
SPT
2 - 2
LIB
26%
27%
47%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
LIB
2 - 1
OLI
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 0
LIB
36%
28%
37%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
SFE
1 - 1
LIB
44%
29%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
LIB
0 - 3
AME
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |