Nacional vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 4
NAC
25%
26%
49%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 0
LQE
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
OLI
0 - 1
NAC
47%
25%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 1
GEN
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
AME
1 - 2
NAC
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 1
DEP
52%
26%
23%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 0
LIB
49%
26%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 0
CER
70%
20%
10%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 0
AGU
43%
28%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 1
LIB
22%
26%
52%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |