Nacional vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
29.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2010 |
SPT
0 - 1
NAC
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
NAC
3 - 0
LQE
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
TAC
0 - 3
NAC
27%
27%
46%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 2
NAC
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 0
RÑU
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2010 |
LIB
3 - 4
AME
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2010 |
LIB
3 - 0
CCP
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
OLI
0 - 2
LIB
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2010 |
LIB
2 - 0
CHI
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
CCP
0 - 2
LIB
48%
28%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |