Nacional vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
28.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
AME
3 - 3
NAC
35%
28%
38%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
NAC
0 - 0
OLI
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
CCP
1 - 0
NAC
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 0
TAC
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
AME
0 - 0
NAC
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
LIB
2 - 2
DEF
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
LIB
2 - 1
SAN
60%
22%
17%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
LIB
3 - 1
AME
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
OLI
0 - 0
LIB
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2007 |
DEF
2 - 1
LIB
60%
22%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |