Nacional vs Guaraní analysis

Nacional Guaraní
73 ELO 80
-9.3% Tilt 0.9%
1060º General ELO ranking 820º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
22.1%
Nacional
23.9%
Draw
54%
Guaraní

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
Nacional
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
54.1%
Win probability
Guaraní
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nacional
-6%
-6%
Guaraní

ELO progression

Nacional
Guaraní
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nacional
Nacional
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Dec. 2015
NAC
Nacional
1 - 2
Dep. Capiatá
DEP
38%
27%
35%
72 73 1 0
29 Nov. 2015
CCP
Cerro Porteño
1 - 0
Nacional
NAC
61%
21%
18%
73 79 6 -1
21 Nov. 2015
NAC
Nacional
0 - 0
Sol de América
AME
42%
28%
30%
72 73 1 +1
09 Nov. 2015
SAN
Deportivo Santaní
2 - 1
Nacional
NAC
38%
27%
35%
73 68 5 -1
03 Nov. 2015
GUA
Guaraní
4 - 0
Nacional
NAC
63%
20%
16%
73 80 7 0

Matches

Guaraní
Guaraní
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Dec. 2015
GUA
Guaraní
0 - 1
Rubio Ñu
RÑU
65%
19%
15%
80 71 9 0
30 Nov. 2015
DEP
Dep. Capiatá
1 - 1
Guaraní
GUA
24%
24%
52%
80 72 8 0
23 Nov. 2015
GUA
Guaraní
4 - 2
Cerro Porteño
CCP
54%
23%
22%
80 79 1 0
08 Nov. 2015
AME
Sol de América
2 - 4
Guaraní
GUA
32%
24%
44%
80 74 6 0
03 Nov. 2015
GUA
Guaraní
4 - 0
Nacional
NAC
63%
20%
16%
80 73 7 0