Nacional vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
LIB
1 - 1
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 0
PET
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
CCP
0 - 0
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 1
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
12O
1 - 3
NAC
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 2
LQE
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2008 |
OLI
0 - 2
GUA
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
GUA
3 - 1
AME
52%
26%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
GUA
0 - 3
LIB
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
PET
1 - 2
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |