Nacional vs Sportivo Carapeguá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
8.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
LOJ
0 - 0
NAC
38%
25%
36%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 1
OLI
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
GEN
0 - 0
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
STR
1 - 1
NAC
49%
22%
29%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 2
AME
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Carapeguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 2
DEP
39%
28%
34%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 0
CAR
69%
21%
10%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
CER
2 - 0
CAR
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 0
LQE
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
OLI
3 - 1
CAR
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |