Nacional vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
41.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 0
RPA
62%
22%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
GEN
1 - 2
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 1
RÑU
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 1
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
GUA
28%
25%
47%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 3
UNI
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
TAC
0 - 0
DEP
21%
21%
59%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 0
TAC
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
AME
0 - 3
DEP
36%
24%
40%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 2
CCP
47%
26%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |