Nacional vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 0
MIN
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
IND
0 - 3
NAC
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 1
CCP
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
LIB
0 - 2
NAC
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2017 |
NAC
5 - 0
IND
55%
24%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
CCP
20%
25%
55%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAN
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 2
SAN
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
GEN
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
FYE
0 - 1
SAN
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |