Nacional vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
14.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
PET
1 - 3
NAC
20%
26%
54%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 3
AME
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 0
12O
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
2DE
0 - 2
NAC
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 1
OLI
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
SAN
0 - 1
2DE
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
OLI
2 - 0
SAN
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
SAN
3 - 2
TAC
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
LIB
0 - 0
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 2
LQE
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |