Naçao Esportes vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
57.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naçao Esportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
NES
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
NES
1 - 3
CHA
7%
15%
79%
|
35 | 71 | 36 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
HER
2 - 2
NES
77%
15%
8%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
NES
0 - 1
FFL
11%
19%
70%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
INT
2 - 0
NES
35%
24%
41%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
JEC
0 - 0
CRI
13%
23%
64%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
JEC
1 - 2
CAC
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
JEC
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 3
JEC
74%
18%
8%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
JEC
2 - 2
AVA
13%
21%
67%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |