Catarinense 2 Eliminatorias. Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Naçao Esportes vs Caravaggio FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
23.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naçao Esportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CFC
1 - 0
NES
23%
20%
57%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
NES
3 - 2
MET
39%
22%
39%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
CFC
3 - 3
NES
21%
20%
60%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
CAC
1 - 2
NES
22%
21%
57%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
NES
1 - 1
INT
48%
22%
30%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Caravaggio FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CFC
1 - 0
NES
23%
20%
57%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
CRA
0 - 1
CFC
52%
22%
26%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
CFC
3 - 3
NES
21%
20%
60%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
CFC
0 - 0
SCA
27%
21%
52%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
MET
1 - 0
CFC
66%
19%
16%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |