NAC Breda vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
15.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
AZA
1 - 2
NAC
60%
23%
18%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
RBK
2 - 0
NAC
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 0
RBK
32%
24%
44%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
NAC
0 - 1
NEC
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2008 |
NEC
6 - 0
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
WIL
2 - 1
AJA
17%
21%
63%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
TWE
2 - 0
WIL
69%
20%
12%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
WIL
3 - 1
FEY
20%
22%
58%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
WIL
2 - 3
SCH
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
SPA
2 - 2
WIL
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |