NAC Breda vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
AZA
1 - 1
NAC
67%
19%
14%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
NAC
0 - 2
FEY
19%
23%
58%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
RJC
2 - 1
NAC
54%
24%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 2
NEC
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 2
VIT
52%
25%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2005 |
WIL
1 - 0
AJA
23%
24%
54%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
WIL
0 - 1
PSV
21%
23%
56%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2005 |
AJA
2 - 0
WIL
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
WIL
4 - 1
GRA
73%
17%
11%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
GRO
1 - 1
WIL
41%
27%
33%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |