NAC Breda vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
54.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 2
FCE
51%
24%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MVV
1 - 1
NAC
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
HEL
1 - 1
NAC
28%
25%
47%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
7 - 0
FCD
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
3 - 0
JON
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
NEC
2 - 0
SCH
37%
24%
38%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GRO
3 - 1
SCH
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
SCH
1 - 1
ZWO
52%
23%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SCH
1 - 1
PSV
35%
24%
42%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
UTR
1 - 1
SCH
35%
25%
40%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |