NAC Breda vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
57.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
WIL
0 - 1
NAC
22%
23%
56%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 2
HER
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
RJC
5 - 1
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 2
EXC
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
AZA
1 - 1
NAC
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
VAS
0 - 0
TWE
26%
26%
48%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
TWE
2 - 1
AJA
34%
23%
43%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2011 |
TWE
2 - 0
VAS
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
GAL
0 - 1
TWE
34%
26%
40%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
AJA
3 - 1
TWE
50%
24%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |