NAC Breda vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
EIN
2 - 0
NAC
19%
23%
58%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 2
FCE
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
JON
6 - 3
NAC
23%
24%
53%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
RJC
0 - 0
NAC
27%
25%
48%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 0
ADO
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
EXC
3 - 0
PSV
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
GRA
3 - 1
EXC
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
EXC
3 - 1
FCD
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
BOS
0 - 5
EXC
32%
24%
44%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
JON
1 - 2
EXC
40%
24%
36%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |