NAC Breda vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
12.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
AZA
1 - 1
NAC
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 3
NAC
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 1
GRO
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
FEY
2 - 1
NAC
52%
25%
24%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
TWE
2 - 0
NAC
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 0
GRA
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SCH
2 - 3
EXC
76%
16%
9%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 2
TWE
22%
24%
54%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
HER
4 - 1
EXC
66%
21%
14%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
EXC
2 - 3
PSV
18%
24%
59%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |