NAC Breda vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1980 |
PSV
3 - 0
NAC
80%
14%
7%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1980 |
NAC
5 - 0
SPA
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1980 |
NAC
1 - 1
WAG
50%
25%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1980 |
RJC
3 - 2
NAC
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1980 |
NAC
2 - 0
GAE
48%
25%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
EXC
1 - 2
WAG
53%
23%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
RJC
1 - 1
EXC
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
EXC
3 - 0
GAE
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1980 |
UTR
2 - 0
EXC
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1980 |
EXC
0 - 2
WIL
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |