NAC Breda vs Ajax analysis

NAC Breda Ajax
74 ELO 89
-4.4% Tilt 24.8%
749º General ELO ranking 106º
25º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
12%
NAC Breda
17.2%
Draw
70.9%
Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
NAC Breda
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
70.9%
Win probability
Ajax
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
NAC Breda
-5%
+1%
Ajax

Points and table prediction

NAC Breda
Their league position
Ajax
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
17º
15º
78
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
PSV
79
79
100%
Ajax
78
78
100%
Feyenoord
68
68
100%
Utrecht
64
64
100%
AZ Alkmaar
57
57
100%
Twente
54
54
100%
Go Ahead Eagles
51
51
100%
NEC Nijmegen
43
43
0%
Heerenveen
43
43
0%
PEC Zwolle
10º
41
41
10º
0%
Fortuna Sittard
11º
41
41
11º
0%
Sparta Rotterdam
12º
39
39
12º
0%
Groningen
13º
39
39
13º
0%
Heracles
14º
38
38
14º
100%
NAC Breda
15º
33
33
15º
100%
Willem II
16º
26
26
16º
100%
RKC Waalwijk
17º
25
25
17º
100%
Almere City
18º
22
22
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
NAC Breda
Ajax
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 100%
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Europa League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

NAC Breda
Ajax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

NAC Breda
NAC Breda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Aug. 2024
GRO
Groningen
4 - 1
NAC Breda
NAC
52%
24%
24%
74 80 6 0
03 Aug. 2024
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
2 - 1
NAC Breda
NAC
62%
20%
18%
73 82 9 +1
30 Jul. 2024
NAC
NAC Breda
1 - 2
Aris Thessaloniki
ARI
31%
27%
42%
73 82 9 0
26 Jul. 2024
NAC
NAC Breda
0 - 1
Lierse Kempenzonen
KSK
46%
23%
31%
74 68 6 -1
24 Jul. 2024
NAC
NAC Breda
1 - 2
OFI
OFI
50%
24%
26%
74 70 4 0

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Aug. 2024
AJA
Ajax
0 - 1
Panathinaikos
PAN
68%
20%
13%
89 83 6 0
11 Aug. 2024
AJA
Ajax
1 - 0
Heerenveen
SCH
68%
19%
13%
89 79 10 0
08 Aug. 2024
PAN
Panathinaikos
0 - 1
Ajax
AJA
21%
21%
58%
89 83 6 0
01 Aug. 2024
VOJ
FK Vojvodina
1 - 3
Ajax
AJA
22%
21%
57%
89 82 7 0
25 Jul. 2024
AJA
Ajax
1 - 0
FK Vojvodina
VOJ
68%
19%
14%
89 83 6 0