NAC Breda vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
74.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
FCE
2 - 0
NAC
34%
26%
41%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 1
HER
28%
24%
48%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ADO
1 - 1
NAC
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 2
WIL
33%
25%
42%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
UTR
2 - 1
NAC
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 7
AJA
9%
17%
74%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
SLB
1 - 1
AJA
37%
24%
39%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
AJA
2 - 0
WIL
78%
15%
8%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
AJA
3 - 0
GAE
78%
15%
7%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
AJA
3 - 0
FEY
55%
22%
23%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |