NAC Breda vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
57.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
VVV
0 - 0
NAC
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
UTR
2 - 2
NAC
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 2
ZWO
35%
26%
39%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
RJC
1 - 0
NAC
32%
25%
43%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 1
ADO
40%
25%
35%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
AJA
1 - 2
UTR
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 3
AJA
17%
23%
59%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
DED
1 - 4
AJA
7%
14%
79%
|
85 | 49 | 36 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
FEY
1 - 4
AJA
39%
25%
37%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
AJA
4 - 0
SPA
78%
14%
7%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | -1 |