NAC Breda vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
62.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
SPA
3 - 4
NAC
23%
23%
54%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
WIL
2 - 1
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
FCD
0 - 1
NAC
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 1
ZWO
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
TWE
18%
25%
57%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
JOS
0 - 9
AJA
8%
16%
76%
|
87 | 41 | 46 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FEY
0 - 1
AJA
34%
24%
42%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 1
PSG
28%
24%
48%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
AJA
2 - 1
HER
75%
16%
8%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
GRO
2 - 0
AJA
22%
23%
55%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | -1 |