NAC Breda vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
66.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 2
VIT
26%
24%
50%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ADO
1 - 1
NAC
43%
26%
32%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SCH
0 - 0
NAC
68%
18%
14%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
FEY
23%
24%
53%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
RJC
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 1
BVO
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
FEY
1 - 2
AJA
25%
23%
53%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
RBS
3 - 1
AJA
26%
23%
51%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
AJA
4 - 0
AZA
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
AJA
0 - 3
RBS
65%
20%
15%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |